Probability 3 Question 43

43. An anti-aircraft gun can take a maximum of four shots at an enemy plane moving away from it. The probabilities of hitting the plane at the first, second, third and fourth shot are 0.4,0.3,0.2, and 0.1 , respectively. What is the probability that the gun hits the plane?

(1981, 2M)

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Answer:

Correct Answer: 43. 11260

Solution:

  1. Let P(H1)=0.4,P(H2)=0.3,P(H3)=0.2,P(H4)=0.1

P (gun hits the plane)

=1P( gun does not hit the plane )=1P(H¯1)P(H¯2)P(H¯3)P(H¯4)=1(0.6)(0.7)(0.8)(0.9)=10.3024=0.6976



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