Probability 3 Question 24

24. The probabilities that a student passes in Mathematics, Physics and Chemistry are $m, p$ and $c$, respectively. Of these subjects, the students has a $75 %$ chance of passing in atleast one, a $50 %$ chance of passing in atleast two and a $40 %$ chance of passing in exactly two. Which of the following relations are true?

(a) $p+m+c=\frac{19}{20}$

(b) $p+m+c=\frac{27}{20}$

(c) $p m c=\frac{1}{10}$

(d) $p m c=\frac{1}{4}$

$(1999,3 M)(2011)$

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Solution:

  1. Let $A, B$ and $C$ respectively denote the events that the student passes in Maths, Physics and Chemistry.

It is given,

$P(A)=m, P(B)=p$ and $P(C)=c$ and

$P$ (passing atleast in one subject)

$$ =P(A \cup B \cup C)=0.75 $$

$\Rightarrow \quad 1-P\left(A^{\prime} \cap B^{\prime} \cap C^{\prime}\right)=0.75$

$$ \because \quad[P(A)=1-P(\bar{A}) $$

and $\quad\left[P(\overline{A \cup B \cup C}]=P\left(A^{\prime} \cap B \cap C^{\prime}\right)\right]$

$\Rightarrow 1-P\left(A^{\prime}\right) \cdot P\left(B^{\prime}\right) \cdot P\left(C^{\prime}\right)=0.75$

$\because A, B$ and $C$ are independent events, therefore $A^{\prime}, B$ and $C^{\prime}$ are independent events.

$$ \begin{aligned} \Rightarrow & & 0.75 & =1-(1-m)(1-p)(1-c) \\ & \Rightarrow & 0.25 & =(1-m)(1-p)(1-c) \end{aligned} $$

Also, $P$ (passing exactly in two subjects) $=0.4$

$\Rightarrow P(A \cap B \cap \bar{C} \cup A \cap \bar{B} \cap C \cup \bar{A} \cap B \cap C)=0.4$

$\Rightarrow P(A \cap B \cap \bar{C})+P(A \cap \bar{B} \cap C)+P(\bar{A} \cap B \cap C)=0.4$

$\Rightarrow P(A) P(B) P(\bar{C})+P(A) P(\bar{B}) P(C)$

$$ +P(\bar{A}) P(B) P(C)=0.4 $$

$\Rightarrow \quad p m(1-c)+p(1-m) c+(1-p) m c=0.4$

$\Rightarrow \quad p m-p m c+p c-p m c+m c-p m c=0.4$

Again, $P$ (passing atleast in two subjects) $=0.5$

$\Rightarrow P(A \cap B \cap \bar{C})+P(A \cap \bar{B} \cap C)$

$+P(\bar{A} \cap B \cap C)+P(A \cap B \cap C)=0.5$

$\Rightarrow \quad p m(1-c)+p c(1-m)+c m(1-p)+p c m=0.5$

$\Rightarrow p m-p c m+p c-p c m+c m-p c m+p c m=0.5$

$\Rightarrow \quad(p m+p c+m c)-2 p c m=0.5$

From Eq. (ii),

From Eq. (i),

$$ p m+p c+m c-3 p c m=0.4 $$

$$



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