Probability 3 Question 22

22. If X and Y are two events such that P(X/Y)=12,P(Y/X)=13 and P(XY)16. Then, which of the following is/are correct?

(2012)

(a) P(XY)=2/3

(b) X and Y are independent

(c) X and Y are not independent

(d) P(XcY)=1/3

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Solution:

  1. PLAN

(i) Conditional probability, i.e. P(A/B)=P(AB)P(B)

(ii) P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)

(iii) Independent event, then P(AB)=P(A)P(B)

Here, P(X/Y)=12,PYX=13

and P(XY)=6

PXY=P(XY)P(Y)

12=1/6P(Y)P(Y)=13

PYX=13P(XY)P(X)=13

16=13P(X)

P(X)=12

P(XY)=P(X)+P(Y)P(XY)

=12+1316=23

P(XY)=16 and P(X)P(Y)=1213=16

P(XY)=P(X)P(Y)

i.e. independent events

P(XcY)=P(Y)P(XY)

=1316=16



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