Probability 3 Question 1

1. Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If two families have two children each, then the conditional probability that all children are girls given that at least two are girls; is

(2019 Main, 10 April I)

(a) 117

(b) 112

(c) 110

(d) 111

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Answer:

Correct Answer: 1. (d)

Solution:

  1. Let event B is being boy while event G being girl.

According to the question, P(B)=P(G)=12

Now, required conditional probability that all children are girls given that at least two are girls, is

All 4 girls

(All 4 girls )+ (exactly 3 girls +1 boy)

  • (exactly 2 girls +2 boys)

=124124+4C313312+4C2122122=11+4+6=111



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