Probability Question 8

Question 8 - 2024 (30 Jan Shift 2)

Bag A contains 3 white, 7 red balls and bag B contains 3 white, 2 red balls. One bag is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. The probability of drawing the ball from the bag $A$, if the ball drawn in white, is :

(1) $\frac{1}{4}$

(2) $\frac{1}{9}$

(3) $\frac{1}{3}$

(4) $\frac{3}{10}$

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Answer (3)

Solution

$\mathrm{E}_{1}: \mathrm{A}$ is selected $\mathrm{A}$ $\mathrm{B}$
$3 \mathrm{~W}$ $3 \mathrm{~W}$
$7 \mathrm{R}$ $2 \mathrm{R}$

$\mathrm{E}_{2}: \mathrm{B}$ is selected

$\mathrm{E}:$ white ball is drawn

$\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_{1} / \mathrm{E}\right)=$

$\frac{P(E) \cdot P\left(E / E_{1}\right)}{P\left(E_{1}\right) \cdot P\left(E / E_{1}\right)+P\left(E_{2}\right) \cdot P\left(E / E_{2}\right)}=\frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{10}}{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{10}+\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{5}}$

$=\frac{3}{3+6}=\frac{1}{3}$